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Poisson Law · cho.sh

Poisson Law

Poisson Law

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b(n,~p) \xrightarrow{d} P(\lambda) ~ \text{if} ~ n \gg 1 ~ \& ~ p \ll 1 ~ \& ~ \lambda = np

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Comments

P(λ) if n≫

1 & p≪

1 & λ=

np

Proof

\lim_{n \to \infty} b(n, ~p) = \lim_{n \to \infty} {n \choose x} p^x (1-p) ^{n-x} = \lim_{n \to \infty} {n! \over {(n-x)! ~ x!}} p^x (1-p) ^{n-x}

= \lim_{n \to \infty} {n! \over {x! (n-x)!}} {\lambda^x \over n^x} (1-{\lambda \over n})^{n-x} = {\lambda^x \over x!} \lim_{n \to \infty} {n! \over {(n-x)!}} {1 \over n^x} (1- {\lambda \over n})^{n-x}

= {\lambda^x \over x!} \lim_{n \to \infty} {n \over n} {{n-1} \over n} {{n-2} \over n} \cdots {{n-x+1} \over n} (1 - {\lambda \over n})^n (1 - {\lambda \over n})^{-x}

= {\lambda^x \over x!} \lim_{n \to \infty} 1 \cdot \lim_{n \to \infty} {{n-1} \over n} \cdots \lim_{n \to \infty} {{n-x+1} \over n} \lim_{n \to \infty} ({1- {\lambda \over n}})^n \lim_{n \to \infty} ({1- {\lambda \over n}})^{-x}

= {\lambda^x \over x!} \lim_{n \to \infty} (1+ {-\lambda \over n})^n = {{\lambda^x e^{-\lambda}} \over x!}

n!

nx1

(

1

−

nn−x+1

n→∞lim

(

1−nλ

)n

n→∞lim

(

1−nλ

)−x

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